y=26 n=100 a=1 b=1 newa=a+y newb=b+n-y theta=seq(0.01,0.99,l=500) plot(theta,dbeta(theta,newa,newb),type="l") qbeta(0.5,newa,newb) qbeta(0.9,newa,newb) qbeta(0.1,newa,newb) newa/(newa+newb) (newa-1)/(newa+newb-2) 0.2647059*(1-0.2647059)/(newa+newb+1) sqrt(0.001889677) qbeta(0.25,newa,newb) qbeta(0.75,newa,newb) newa newb 0.293313-0.2344279 qbeta(0.025,newa,newb) qbeta(0.975,newa,newb)