ST380: Lectures & Assignments

ST380: Probability and Statistics for the Physical Sciences Fall Session, 2009 [Expect frequent changes throughout the semester!]
0	Date		Lecture coverage	Homework and reading assignments
1	August 19	W	Basics of Probability The R software	Download R	Read Section(s): 1.1, Intro to R (Chap. 6-8) Example 1.2 (R codes)
2	Aug 21	F	Rules of probability	Download Ocean temp data	Read Section(s): 1.1 Figure 1.3 (R codes)
3	Aug 24	M	Continuous and discrete random variables	NA	Read Section(s): 1.2
4	Aug 26	W	Probability densities, Transformations of random variables	NA	Read Section(s): 1.3, Intro to R (Chap. 8)
5	Aug 28	F	Parametric families: Binomial distribution	HW1 (due Sep 4)	Read Section(s): 1.3.1 HW1: Chap.1: 2, 5, 6, 7 & 9
6	Aug 31	M	Poisson and Exponential distribution	NA	Read Section(s): 1.3.2, 1.3.3 Plotting parametric densities (R codes)
7	Sep 2	W	The Normal distribution	NA	Read Section(s): 1.3.4
8	Sep 4	F	Centers, spreads and moments	HW2 (due Sep 11)	Read Section(s): 1.4 HW2: Chap.1: 12, 16, 25, 26, 27, 28 and 36
9	Sep 7	M	Holiday (Labor Day): No class	HWS1	University closed
10	Sep 9	W	Computing moments using R	NA	Read Section(s): 1.4
11	Sep 11	F	Joint and marginal distributions	HW3 (due Sep 18)	Read Section(s): 1.5 HW3: Chap.1: 8, 11, 33, 34 & 35
12	Sep 14	M	Conditional distributions	HWS2	Read Section(s): 1.5
13	Sep 16	W	Association and independence	NA	Read Section(s): 1.6
14	Sep 18	F	Some results for large samples	HW4 (due Sep 25)	Read Section(s): 1.9 HW4: Chap.1: 38 & 39
15	Sep 21	M	Modes of inference	HWS3	Read Section(s): 2.1
16	Sep 23	W	Exploratiory data analysis	NA	Read Section(s): 2.2
17	Sep 25	F	Graphical analysis	HW5 (due Oct 2)	Read Section(s): 2.2.2, R commands HW5: Chap.2: 2, 3, 5
18	Sep 28	M	Exploring relationships	HWS4	Read Section(s): 2.2.3 R commands
19	Sep 30	W	The likelihood function (of a single parameter)	.	Read Section(s): 2.3.1
20	Oct 2	F	Likelihood for vector of parameters	HW6 (due Oct 16)	Read Section(s): 2.3.3, HW6: Chap.2: 7, 9, 11; optional problems: 10, 12, 13 & 14 (extra credit of 5 points will be added to your midterm if you do #10 above correctly)
21	Oct 5	M	The maximum likelihood estimate (MLE)	HWS5	Read Section(s): 2.4.1
22	Oct 7	W	Practice Problems for midterm	.	Read Section(s): 2.4.1
23	Oct 9	F	Holiday (Fall break): No class	no HW	University open
24	Oct 12	M	Midterm exam	Time and place: 4:000-6:00p, 450 Riddick Hall	Syllabus: Chap.1
25	Oct 14	W	Solutions to midterm	.	.
26	Oct 16	F	Accuracy of Estimation	HW7 (due Oct 23)	Read Section(s): 2.4.2 HW7: Chap.2: 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23
27	Oct 19	M	Bayesian inference Submit Project proposal by e-mail	HWS6	Read Section(s): 2.5 Guidelines on submitting a project proposal
28	Oct 21	W	Posterior distribution	.	Read Section(s): 2.5
29	Oct 23	F	Prediction	HW8 (due Oct 30)	Read Section(s): 2.6 HW8: Chap.2: 28, 30, 35, 36
30	Oct 26	M	Hypothesis testing	HWS7	Read Section(s): 2.7
31	Oct 28	W	Hypothesis tests (continued)	.	Read Section(s): 2.7
32	Oct 30	F	Regression	HW9 (due Nov 6)	Read Section(s): 3.1 HW9: Chap.3: 1, 2, 3
33	Nov 2	M	Normal linear models	HWS8	Read Section(s): 3.2 and R commands
34	Nov 4	W	Statistical inference based on linear models	.	Read Section(s): 3.2
35	Nov 6	F	Examples of linear regression	HW10 (due Nov 13)	Read Section(s): 3.2 HW10: Chap.3: 6, 8, 10
36	Nov 9	M	Generalized linear models	HWS9	Read Section(s): 3.3
37	Nov 11	W	Logistic regression		Read Section(s): 3.3.1
38	Nov 13	F	Logistic regression (continued)	HW11 (due Nov 20)	Read Section(s): 3.3.1 HW11: Chap.3: 13, 14, 15
39	Nov 16	M	Poisson regression	HWS10	Read Section(s): 3.3.2
40	Nov 18	W	Predictions from regression	.	Read Section(s): 3.4
41	Nov 20	F	Prediction using regression	HW12 (due Nov 30)	Read Section(s): 3.4 HW12: Chap.3: 18, 19, 23
42	Nov 23	M	Closing remarks	HWS11	Read Section(s): Chap.1-3
43	Nov 25	W	Thanksgiving vacation: No class	N/A	University closed
44	Nov 27	F	Thanksgiving vacation: No class	no HW	University closed
45	Nov 30	M	Project presentations 9:05-10:05 in 323 Mann Hall and 4:00-5:15 in 450 Riddick Hall	HWS12	Groups: Allen, Jessup and Moreno; Barnes, Brooks, Roper and Timte; Bird and Register; Boone, Boyd, Bradley and Craven; Keith, afternoon groups: Fowler and Skau; DeWeese; Small; Tracey; Bradshaw and Rose.
46	Dec 2	W	Project presentations 9:05-10:05 in 323 Mann Hall	.	Groups: Boyer, James and Showers; Camras, Cipullo, Embrey and Mentha; Carpenter, Dees, Poe and Westfield; Cook and Garnett.
47	Dec 4	F	Project presentations 9:05-10:05 in 323 Mann Hall	no HW	Groups: Evans, Long, Schmookler and Varner; Faulkner, Garmier and Kovacik; Fateiger, Meiners and Nunalee; Guignard, Hite, Pylypiw and Wright